The scattered elevator pieces point more convincingly to damage from an unrecoverable, high-speed dive than to the initiating event. Icing and violent turbulence offer the stronger path to explaining the initial loss of control, while treating late structural breakup as the root cause jumps ahead of the evidence.
An aircraft shedding a vital pitch-control surface before impact makes structural failure the central concern. Extreme speed may have reduced elevator effectiveness, but an incomplete tail erased any chance of recovery. A weather-first theory risks minimizing the clearest physical evidence.
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