Study: Climate Change Made Iberian Wildfires 40 Times More Likely

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1 day ago

Above: A member of Spain's Military Emergency Unit tackles a wildfire in Garano, Spain, on Aug. 25, 2025. Image copyright: Cesar Manso/AFP/Getty Images

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The Spin

Climate-skeptic narrative

A closer analysis reveals significant flaws in the methodology, conflicts of interest and a concerning agenda that undermines scientific integrity when it comes to climate alarmism. It's more accurate to view extreme weather as largely unaffected by climate change, focusing instead on how thermodynamic changes may influence its impact. Record-breaking events like wildfires can still occur naturally, and event attribution remains an emerging science with often inconsistent results.

New York Post

Reddit on Reddit

Climate-concerned narrative

Climate change is the overwhelming driver behind these catastrophic fires that are becoming the new normal. The science is crystal clear — human-caused warming has made these extreme fire conditions 40 times more likely and 30% more intense. Without rapid decarbonization, the world is heading toward 3 degrees of warming, where wildfires will be absolutely catastrophic across Europe.

Inside Climate News

Narrative C

While climate change may play a role, the real culprit is decades of poor land management and rural abandonment, which have left 2.3 million hectares of Spanish land unmanaged and 160% more biomass than 50 years ago. Prevention through proper forest management costs far less than firefighting, but politicians prefer buying planes over the unglamorous, labor-intensive work of clearing dense, flammable vegetation.

Politico

Metaculus Prediction

Editor's Note

This story currently has limited reporting from right-leaning sources. We will continue to monitor all major outlets and update our coverage as additional perspectives become available.