Controversy
Status:Open

Will 2025 Be the Hottest Year Ever Recorded?

Discuss on
UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

James Hansen
James Hansen"Don't count 2025 out in the race for hottest year."
Stephen Leahy
Stephen Leahy"It is likely that 2025 will not be as hot as recent years."
Paulo Ceppi
Paulo Ceppi"It's unlikely 2025 will be as hot as 2024."Mar 03, 2025
Science Media Centre
Science Media Centre
ECCC
ECCC"The global mean temperature in 2025 is expected to surpass the earlier record set during the exceptionally strong 2014-2016 El Niño."Feb 24, 2025
ClimateData.ca
ClimateData.ca
Samantha Burgess
Samantha Burgess"In time, 2025 is likely to be one of the cooler years that we experience."Feb 06, 2025
BBC News
BBC News
The Met Office
The Met Office"2025 is likely to be one of the three warmest years for global average temperature."
Gavin A. Schmidt
Gavin A. Schmidt"2025 is less likely to be a global warmest year."
Ben Noll
Ben Noll"Based on history, it [global moisture] *should* decrease somewhat in 2025."
Zeke Hausfather
Zeke Hausfather"The high January temperatures have increased the odds of 2025 being the warmest year on record."
Adam Scaife
Adam Scaife"Years such as 2025 which aren't dominated by the warming influence of El Niño, should be cooler."Dec 23, 2024
Euronews
Euronews
"2025 will be moderately cooler than 2024."Jan 10, 2025
Berkeley Earth
Berkeley Earth
NOAA
NOAA"There is a 7% chance that 2025 will rank as the warmest year on record."Feb 28, 2025
Ncei
Ncei
Metaculus
MetaculusWill 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?Mar 09, 2025
Metaculus2
Metaculus2
Zeke Hausfather
Zeke Hausfather"[I]t is possible that the year ends up warmer than anticipated."Nov 13, 2024
Carbon Brief
Carbon Brief
Russell Vose
Russell VoseThere's "only a 5% chance or less that 2025 will rank first."

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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 8.0.0

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All rights reserved.

Version 8.0.0