Australia Election: Vitalstats

Australia Election: Vitalstats
Above: The Australian flag blows in the wind prior to game one of the Women's ODI series between New Zealand and Australia at Basin Reserve, on Dec. 19, 2024, in Wellington, New Zealand. Image copyright: Hagen Hopkins/Stringe/Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

The Spin

Australian Labor Party narrative

Labor must win the 2025 Australian election to maintain stability, progress, and leadership that people trust. With Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s rising approval rates and Labor’s Medicare commitments, voters are shifting back. Meanwhile, the opposition's policies alienate key demographics. Labor’s lead in polls signals momentum for a return to power.

Liberal/National Coalition narrative

The Coalition must win the 2025 election to restore economic confidence and address rising cost-of-living pressures. With strong polling momentum and a proven record in economic management, the Coalition is best positioned to lead. Australians need stability, lower inflation, and a government that prioritizes working families over political self-interest.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



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