Australia

Labor Leads Polls as Australian Election Enters Final Days

APR 30 2025·Updated MAY 1 2025

Story

Above: Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese shakes hands with Opposition Leader Peter Dutton on April 27, 2025 in Sydney, Australia. Image credit: Dan Peled/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

Polling data shows Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's Labor Party maintaining a lead of 53-47% in two-party preferred terms over Peter Dutton's Coalition with just days remaining before the May 3 Australian federal election.
Dailytelegraph
The Sydney Morning Herald
The election campaign has been influenced by global factors, particularly concerns about U.S. President Donald Trump's proposed tariffs, with polling indicating 30% of voters believe Trump's policies make them less likely to vote for Dutton.
Au
The Sydney Morning Herald
Economic issues remain central to the campaign, with inflation data released Wednesday showing that the consumer price index rose 0.9% in the first quarter of 2025 and 2.4% year-over-year, slightly higher than economists' expectations.
Wsj
CNBC
Reuters
Early voting surged with over 4.03 million already casting ballots, representing over 22% of enrolled voters and marking a 26% rise compared to the same point in 2022. On Wednesday, Albanese landed in Perth for the last leg of campaigning.
ABC
Australian
Both of Australia's main parties — Labor and the Coalition — which have forecast a close result, have focused their campaigns on the country's cost-of-living issues. Voting began in the election on Tuesday.
Australian
ap
The Voice to Parliament referendum, which was defeated in 2023, briefly resurfaced as a campaign issue after Foreign Minister Penny Wong suggested it might eventually be introduced, comparing it to marriage equality.
guardian
Daily Mail

Sources Split

LEFT

CENTER

RIGHT

ESTAB
CRIT

CENTER

PRO
ESTAB

The Spin

Liberal/National Coalition narrative

Despite being widely viewed as Australia's weakest leader in decades, a thoroughly uninspiring Anthony Albanese might ride to victory solely on the tidal wave of anti-Trump sentiment sweeping democratic nations. Just as Canada's lackluster Liberals triumphed, Labor will prevail not through merit but through fierce public rejection of Trump's bullying politics contaminating right-wing parties worldwide.

Australian

The Washington Post

The Nightly

Australian Labor Party narrative

Resolute, steady, and sharpened by a turbulent first term, Anthony Albanese now towers as the only leader equipped to anchor Australia through uncertain times. In contrast to chaos, he offers calm. While Peter Dutton flounders in a fog of confusion and policy collapse, Albanese stands poised to win again — not by chance, but by clear purpose, preparation, and principled leadership.

ABC