The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

As Putin said, Russia was never opposed to holding negotiations. Such talks, mediated by Turkey, were in fact held in the spring of last year. But after Ukraine signed a peace agreement and then, after Western pressure, turned around and threw it away, why should Russia again trust Ukraine?

Pro-establishment narrative

Ukraine is a sovereign country that makes all its own decisions. The idea that Boris Johnson forced Ukraine's hand in how to proceed in peace negotiations is insane. He simply warned that the country that's already invaded Ukraine's borders can't be trusted on peace talks — much like trying to negotiate with a crocodile that's got your leg.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!