Moscow Denies Reports of Ukrainian Bakhmut Breakthrough

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Drawing context from the statements of Prigozhin and the Russian defense ministry's responses — as well as from geolocated footage that showed a recent reversal of positions in some areas — Ukraine likely did regain territory that was recently held by Moscow.

Pro-Russia narrative

Reports of Ukrainian advances are false. Russian troops have continued to repel all Ukrainian attacks, while offensive operations are still ongoing in several regions. Moscow continues to hold the majority of Bakhmut, or Artyomovsk in Russian.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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