More Details of US-Russia Diplomacy Talks Emerge

Image copyright: US State Dept. [via Wikimedia Commons]

The Spin

Narrative A

The evidence suggests that, at every possible turn, the West has hampered — rather than fostered — a possible peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. Had talks been taken seriously since 2014, this whole war could've been avoided. Now with every day that passes, more destruction of Ukraine is brought. This is the time to bring the conflict to a close.

Narrative B

It's often argued that all wars end in negotiations so peace talks in this instance will inevitably have to be sought. Not only is this wrong, but premature negotiations can do more harm than good. If Russian and Ukrainian interests do not overlap, we could be setting the stage for another war.

Metaculus Prediction


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