Day 377: Zelenskyy Pledges to Continue Defense of Bakhmut

story

MAR 2023

Image copyright: Reuters [via Al Jazeera]

story last updated JAN 31

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Russian success in the Donetsk city of Bakhmut would only be symbolically important. It would not have a strategic or operational impact on the war, and would by no means mean Russia had turned the tide of the conflict.

Pro-Russia narrative

Russia's capture of Bakhmut is strategically important as it has long been the logistics hub for Ukraine's forces in the rest of Donetsk. Its capture would also open up further roads of potential Russian advance in the region.

Metaculus Prediction

Establishment split

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All rights reserved.

Version 6.15.2