Day 19 Close: Conflict Talks Continue, US Warns China Against Involvement in Ukraine

    Image copyright: AFP [via Al Jazeera]

    The Facts

    • The fourth round of conflict talks began by video-link on Mon. as Russia continued its heavy bombardment near Kyiv and the southern port city of Mariupol over the weekend. The talks will resume Tues.

    • This follows Russian air raids on a military training ground near the border of Poland on Sun. Ukrainian officals said 35 were killed and more than 130 were wounded in the attack.

    The Spin

    Anti-Russia narrative

    This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after a fraudulent election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to re-write history.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.

    Metaculus Prediction

    Establishment split