Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato's Crystal Ball is a nonpartisan website and newsletter founded in 2003 by University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato, providing free political analysis and electoral projections. Published by the UVA Center for Politics, it has become a widely cited source for U.S. election forecasting and political history.
Claims from Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato's Crystal Ball“We continue to believe that progressive Abdul El-Sayed (D) will underperform what a Democratic Senate candidate could or should get in Michigan in a year like 2026... yet we still have viewed him as a soft favorite to win, and we’re going to formalize that by pushing his race to Leans Democratic.”Sep 22, 2026