Day 55 Roundup: Russian Donbas Assault Begins, Mariupol Refuses to Surrender

Late on Mon., Russia launched its anticipated, large-scale ground offensive on the eastern regions of Donetsk and Luhansk – collectively the Donbas – several sources reported. Ukrainian officials said fighting was reported across the broad 300 mi (480 km) front.
The Donbas, largely made up of ethnic Russians, has suffered a bloody conflict since 2014 when pro-Russian separatists sought to create two independent republics. Fighting and frequent violations of the ceasefire continued despite the Minsk 1 and 2 agreements reached in Sep. 2014 and Feb. 2015.
Russian Pres. Putin signed a decree recognizing the independence of the Luhansk People's Republic (LPR) and the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) on Feb. 21. Three days later he launched the war on Ukraine.
Anti-Russia narrative
With Russia's troops outstretched and suffering heavy losses in the north, Putin has re-maneuvered to try and gain the strategically important Donbas region. With 44k Ukrainian troops stationed in the Donbas, the battle for the region could influence the course of the whole war – and Putin's grand plan to restore the Soviet empire.
Pro-Russia narrative
As stated by Putin, the purpose of the war was never to capture Kyiv, but to liberate the ethnically Russian people of Donetsk and Luhansk, who have been subjected to systematic brutality by Ukrainian forces for not recognizing the 2014 coup in Kyiv. This tragedy would have been avoided if NATO had kept its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification.
Nerd narrative
According to the Metaculus prediction community, there's a 35% chance that Zelenskyy and Putin will meet to discuss a peaceful resolution to the conflict before 2023.
Infowars Files for Bankruptcy

Three entities owned by Alex Jones, including Infowars, filed an emergency request for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on Sun., as the controversial media host faces several lawsuits and estimated liabilities of as much as $10M.
Filing for Chapter 11 allows companies to continue operating while they formulate a plan to save their businesses; it also pauses any pending civil litigation.
Jones faces multiple lawsuits from the parents of the victims of the Sandy Hook shooting, against whom he made the (now retracted) accusation of being "crisis actors" involved in a false flag operation.
Pro-establishment narrative
Alex Jones is a notorious grifter who has spread damaging conspiracy theories for profit. He even later admitted that the Sandy Hook shooting actually happened and wasn't committed by "crisis actors." Hopefully this will be the end of his dangerous public platform.
Establishment-critical narrative
The Democrat-funded lawsuits against Jones are a conspiracy to silence him. Infowars offers an alternative to the mainstream media, and thus it has been targeted by the alliance of left-wing radical Democrats and globalists.
Turkey Launches New Ground and Air Offensive in Northern Iraq

Turkey has launched a fresh ground and air offensive in northern Iraq targeting Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) bases in the area, Turkey's defense minister said on Mon. At least 19 suspected Kurdish rebels have been killed, and four Turkish soldiers wounded.
In an operation named Claw-Lock, commando units and special forces, backed by UAVs and attack helicopters, have conducted raids against PKK positions in Metina, Zap, and Avashin-Basyan.
The Turkish defense ministry said that the operation came after they discovered that the PKK was planning a large-scale attack against Turkey.
Narrative A
Turkey has every right to defend its border from the terrorist PKK organization, which seeks to undermine and provoke Turkish society. The Turkish military is fighting valiantly to eradicate Kurdish terrorism from inside and outside Turkey.
Narrative B
This is nothing more than a continuation of Turkey's genocidal campaign against Kurds. Turkey seeks to occupy all of northern Iraq, including the city of Mosul, due to Erdogan's neo-Ottoman delusions. The Kurds have just as great a right as Ukrainians to resist a brutal military occupation.
Beanstalk Farms Cryptocurrency Collapses After $182M Hack
Hackers targeted a decentralized finance (DeFi) project called Beanstalk Farms on Sun. and made off with roughly $80M in tokens, causing the project to lose its $182M in total value locked.
Beanstalk Farms, which is built on the ethereum blockchain, includes a stablecoin called "the bean" that was supposed to help balance the supply and demand of different cryptocurrency assets.
Participants in the project contribute funds to a central pool called "the silo," which is used to maintain the value of the bean stablecoin.
Narrative A
When it comes to DeFi, the buck stops nowhere; there is zero accountability when these ventures fail. The anonymous "founders" point to flaws in the open-source code and hide behind the claim that the project is an "experiment," not a "business."
Narrative B
The fact that most DeFi and crypto projects are open-source means that any vulnerabilities can be quickly spotted and exploited by bad actors. On the bright side, though, this has prompted a security arms race as platforms and protocols rush to secure the top talent to protect their networks.
Narrative C
The irony here is that even so-called "stablecoins" that are meant to help stabilize the inherent volatility of new crypto and DeFi projects are themselves subject to attack and theft. DeFi is dangerous and regulators must step up to protect consumers.
Israeli Airstrikes Hit Gaza For Second Time This Week After Rockets Fired

Palestine and Israel have exchanged fire for a second time this week, with Palestinian militants firing two rockets into Israel from the Gaza Strip late Wed. and early Thurs., to which Israel responded with airstrikes. The Israeli military said it targeted a Hamas compound.
This comes after Israeli fighter jets carried out a series of airstrikes in the southern Gaza Strip on Tues., reportedly targeting a Hamas manufacturing site, after the military on Mon. said they intercepted a rocket fired from the region. These were the first such strikes in several months.
Palestinian fighters claimed to have fired anti-aircraft missiles to counter both Tuesday and Thursday's airstrikes, but didn't appear to have hit the Israeli planes. No casualties were reported from either strike.
Pro-Palestine narrative
This is but the latest in a series of unprovoked attacks by Israeli occupation forces, who appear bent on turning the holy month of Ramadan in Jerusalem and Gaza into a battlefield. Unfortunately, violence at the mosque and in Gaza is likely only just beginning, and Israel risks sparking a third Intifada.
Pro-Israel narrative
Israel has responded accordingly to provocations coming from Palestinians in Jerusalem and the Gaza Strip. This is a complex and sensitive time, but Israel is determined to guarantee the security of its citizens and public order, while making efforts to allow freedom of worship to everyone on the Temple Mount.
US, South Korea Urge Kim to Negotiate After New 'Tactical Weapon' Test

In Seoul, US special envoy for North Korea Sung Kim said US and South Korea agree on the need for the "strongest possible joint deterrence" to NK's recent spate of missile tests. The US, however, remains open to talks with NK leader Kim Jong-un without preconditions.
On Sun., NK state media reported that Pyongyang had successfully test-fired a new type of tactical guided weapon designed to boost its nuclear fighting capability, a day before the start of US-SK annual joint military drills.
The SK government and analysts have expressed concern that a larger provocation is yet to come, including a nuclear test to increase pressure on Washington and Seoul while denuclearization talks remain stalled.
Pro-establishment narrative
North Korea's actions are provocative and pose a severe threat to peace and to the stability of the Korean peninsula. North Korea remains a foreign-policy headache for the United States and its allies, and it's time for the US to take an even stronger stance.
Establishment-critical narrative
North Korea's actions are purely to protect itself. This new tactical weapon gives more defense capability to Pyongyang, boosting its ability for nuclear deterrence, and to avert imperialist threats and blackmail.
DOJ to Appeal Ruling that Ended Mask Mandate on Public Transport

The Justice Dept. will appeal the ruling that struck down mask mandates on planes and public transit after the CDC advised the Biden administration that the measure remained a necessity for public health.
The announcement comes after a federal judge in FL ruled on Mon. that the mask mandate can't legally be enforced.
Less than a week after the CDC had extended the measure until May 3, Judge Kathryn Kimball Mizelle found that the mandate exceeded the agency's legal authority under the Public Health Service Act of 1944.
Democratic narrative
The ruling was not a legal decision but a political one. A Trump-appointed judge found against the Biden administration's policy, now the appeal will go to one of the most ideologically conservative courts in the US - the 11th circuit. The politicization of the legal system is putting public health at risk.
Republican narrative
The DOJ is taking a huge risk by appealing this ruling. If unsuccessful, the case could establish a precedent limiting federal power in times of public health emergencies. This decision is a mistake, especially as COVID cases have decreased dramatically since Jan. and the less-lethal Omicron variant is still the dominant strain.
Former CEO Dorsey Endorses Musk’s Twitter Takeover

Twitter co-founder Jack Dorsey has endorsed Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk's takeover of Twitter in a series of tweets.
Dorsey, who stepped down as Twitter CEO in Nov. 2021 but remains on the company's board, wrote Musk is "the singular solution I trust" to Twitter being "owned by Wall Street and the ad model."
Dorsey stands to make $978M from Musk's $44B purchase, as the former CEO owns 2.4% of the company.
Narrative B
Advertisements make it possible for platforms to provide products and services to price-sensitive consumers without breaking the bank. The ad-revenue model is a boon to consumers.
Narrative C
Getting rid of ads is just one of the many positive changes Musk's privatization of Twitter will bring. In addition to improving many features and removing the platform from politics, he's pledged to replace ad revenue with subscription fees from 'Twitter Blue' customers and have the board of directors work for free.
Tesla Shareholders Ask Judge to Silence Musk

Tesla shareholders have asked a judge to prevent CEO Elon Musk from talking about his 2018 tweets until after their lawsuit is heard in May. They claim he's attempting to influence potential jurors.
The lawsuit stems from tweets issued by Musk asserting that he had secured funding to take Tesla private at $420 per share, an act the plaintiffs contend manipulated the company's stock price and cost them money.
Musk settled an SEC investigation into the tweets in 2019 when he agreed to pay financial penalties and to have lawyers vet any business-related tweets prior to publication.
Narrative A
Musk is crazy … crazy like a fox. When he knew he needed to give Tesla stock a boost, he tweeted about taking the company private. True or false, Musk kept Tesla out of bankruptcy and eventually it turned a profit, and all it cost Musk was a settlement with the SEC. What a great example of American industriousness in the face of government overreach.
Narrative B
Musk's flippant attitudes toward financial regulations and his theories on unlimited free speech are dangerous, if not criminal. He must be held to account for his actions to prove that billionaires can't just do what they want and get away with it.
VP Harris: US Won't Conduct Anti-Satellite Missile Tests

In a speech held at the Vandenburg Space Force Base on Mon., VP Kamala Harris announced that the US will no longer conduct direct-ascent anti-satellite ("ASAT") missile tests.
This marks the US as the first nation to ban these tests amid concerns about the dangers of space debris.
The self-imposed ban covers ASAT tests where a missile is launched from Earth or an aircraft to intercept a satellite.
Establishment-critical narrative
The Biden administration's decision to impose a ban due to the dangers of space junk is hypocritical. Given that the US is the first country to have moved ahead and tested anti-satellite weapons, it shouldn't be trying to convince others not to do the same.
Pro-establishment narrative
There are unlimited risks associated with ASAT testing, and it's high time that a ban is implemented. Space debris could potentially damage space stations, could destroy dozens of satellites, and could pose a future risk to anything that might launch for years to come. Other countries should follow the US lead.
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