Polymarket

Polymarket is a United States-based decentralized prediction market platform. It allows users to trade on the outcome of real-world events.

Claims from Polymarket

Polymarket“Traders on Polymarket put the probability of an official announcement by Dec. 31 at 18%, rising to 65% by the end of 2027."Oct 19, 2026

Polymarket"There is a 5% chance of the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) being signed into law in 2026."Oct 12, 2026

Polymarket"There is a 99.9% chance that Apple will release a foldable phone before 2027."Oct 19, 2026

Polymarket"There's a 70% chance Abdul El-Sayed will win the 2026 US Senate election in Michigan."Oct 12, 2026

Version 8.0.0