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Will Sara Duterte win the 2028 Philippine Presidential Election?

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Last Updated 7 hours ago

OCTA Research"Taken together, the Q1 2026 findings suggest that VP Duterte remains the candidate to beat in a hypothetical 2028 head-to-head contest, but Mayor Robredo remains viable, competitive, and regionally resilient."Apr 27, 2026

GMA News Online

INQUIRER.net"The latest surveys show that she is beatable, she can be beaten, as they say, the vice president can be put to sleep… The numbers of the vice president have peaked a long time ago, so the only way to go is down."May 13, 2026

INQUIRER.net

MARIA LOURDES TIQUIA"The 2028 Philippine presidency remains hers to lose."Jun 23, 2026

The Manila Times

South China Morning Post"Philippine Vice-President Sara Duterte-Carpio is still, by a distance, the early favourite to be the country’s next president."Apr 10, 2026

South China Morning Post

Kalshi"There is a 59% chance that Sara Duterte will win the 2028 Philippines presidential election."Jul 17, 2026

Kalshi

Mindanao Times"Numbers, unlike emotional noise, don’t lie. Sara is simply the choice of the Filipinos, particularly the Gen Z, for President in 2028. I go by the data, not “haka-haka.""Feb 21, 2026

Mindanao Times

“Sara remains an undisputed candidate for the 2028 presidential election... and her probable win is also China’s preferential pivot and return to power."Aug 11, 2025

Asia Times

Coinbase"There is a 59% chance that Sara Duterte will win the 2028 Philippines presidential election."Jul 17, 2026

Coinbase

Foreign Policy"Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte, the daughter of former President Rodrigo Duterte, is currently the front-runner to win the country’s next presidential election in 2028."Jul 09, 2025

Foreign Policy

Manila Standard"If acquitted, by the Senate, can Sara Duterte win the 2028 election? Highly unlikely."Jul 17, 2026

Manilastandard

Bob Herrera-Lim"The sense is if it starts at 45%, the bandwagon plus the fragmentation of the opposition gives her almost certainty for 2028."Jul 17, 2026

Youtu

Lloyd C. Bautista"Sara Duterte’s chances of winning are not just plausible; they are already palpable without a strong contender."Feb 22, 2026

The Manila Times

Manila Bulletin"Barring any earthshaking political upheaval, it looks like Vice President Sara Duterte is likely to win the presidency in 2028."Apr 24, 2026

Manila Bulletin

NewsWatch Plus PH“She is clearly ahead based on current surveys. But it’s still very early, and Philippine politics has shown time and again that unexpected candidates can rise quickly."Jan 02, 2026

Newswatchplus.Ph

"There is a 59% chance that Sara Duterte will win the 2028 Philippines presidential election."Jul 17, 2026