Controversy
Status:Open
Who Will Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Claims
Squawka"Argentina sit at +800 to lift the trophy, joint third-favorite in the market alongside Brazil and France, behind only Spain (+450) and England (+600). The implied probability on +800 is 11.11%."Jul 01, 2026
Jan Hatzius"The bank says Spain has a 26% chance of winning, followed by France (19%) and Argentina (14%)."Jun 01, 2026
ESPN.com"Interestingly, though seven writers expect Argentina to follow up their 2022 World Cup victory with another deep run in 2026, not a single one picked them to actually repeat."Jul 01, 2026
Melanie Anzidei"I hate to admit that France is a tournament favorite and can win it all."Jun 08, 2026
Tony Pulis"I've got Argentina, Brazil, France, England, Morocco, Portugal, Spain and Senegal as my quarter-finalists. My pick to win it? France."Jun 10, 2026
Reuters"Argentina's chances were reduced by what the bank called a "winner's slump" effect, or the tendency of defending champions to underperform at the following World Cup."Jun 24, 2026
Nick Ames"My latest tilt at the Guardian’s addictive Bracketology tool has thrown up a France versus Argentina rematch. Rather than roll the dice again. I’ll go with France to win."Jun 10, 2026
Yahoo Sports"In the end, a rematch between France and Argentina seems to be the most likely ending point for this World Cup, based on the way that the draw sits. As someone who is all for chaos, I would love to be wrong. Still, if these two teams do end up in a rematch, I think Les Bleus come out on top this time."Jun 11, 2026
Kevin Hand"With an extraordinary depth of talent in every position, France have a serious shot at being crowned World Cup winners for a third time."Jun 08, 2026
Tamerra Griffin"It should be France. They have the strongest starters and bench in the tournament."Jun 08, 2026
Alan Shearer"France, but there's a caveat that comes with it - only if there is no in-house fighting."Jun 10, 2026
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.7.2
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 7.7.2