Trump Threatens 100% Tariff on Canada Over Potential China Trade Deal

Does Trump’s 100% tariff threat force Canada to dodge a deal with the devil or highlight its need to control its economic destiny?
Trump Threatens 100% Tariff on Canada Over Potential China Trade Deal
Above: Mark Carney and Donald Trump in Kananaskis, Canada, on June 16, 2025. Image credit: Geoff Robins/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Trump narrative

By threatening 100% tariffs, Trump is forcing Canada to avoid a deal with the devil — becoming a pipeline for Chinese goods into the U.S. Ottawa may now claim it's not pursuing a free trade deal with China, but only because Trump's pressure leaves them no choice. The move protects Canadian businesses and Western values, while helping a Trump-deranged Ottawa avoid cutting off its nose to spite its face and remember that its closest ally remains the indispensable partner and leader of the truly free world.

Anti-Trump narrative

Trump's threat of 100% tariffs on Canadian goods underscores the need for Canada to take control of its own economy. Amid instability from the Trump administration, Canada is focusing on what it can control: buying Canadian, building Canadian and diversifying trade. Although no free trade deal with China is being pursued, smart, balanced engagement with China and other partners protects workers, supports businesses and reinforces sovereignty while ensuring long-term prosperity for the nation.

Metaculus Prediction



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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.20.2

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.20.2