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Squeezing Tehran works better than bargaining with it. Saudi output has rebounded to nearly 10.56 million barrels daily, while West Texas crude has fallen from $102 to $87. Tanker rates west of Suez have plunged 70% in a week, exposing the "chokepoint threat" as a bluff. A deal now would surrender hard-won leverage just as fuel affordability improves.
Declaring victory over a regime that remains intact is a dangerous way to stumble into war. Claims of 301% inflation and an IRGC unable to meet payroll collapse under scrutiny. A blockade built on unreliable figures is destined to fail. When economic pressure stalls and diplomacy produces nothing, military force risks becoming the default option.
Iran's position is clear: Tehran did not choose the illegal conflict, Israel helped draw Washington into a costly war and distrust of the U.S. stems from repeated broken commitments. Tehran rejects foreign-imposed regional order and remains open to diplomacy, but Washington must respect its sovereignty and give sanctions relief and security guarantees before any agreement.