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Nvidia's explosive revenue growth masks a quietly shifting balance sheet — accounts receivable stretched from 45 to 60 days, free cash flow dropped from $48.5 billion to $21.3 billion, and the firm now backs $279 billion in purchase commitments plus $108.5 billion in data center lease guarantees. A chip designer has become the ecosystem's banker, and that leaves zero margin for AI monetization to disappoint.
Nvidia's $279 billion in supply commitments isn't a liability but proof that the company has already bought the materials for 70% revenue growth in FY2028, with demand actually far exceeding that cap. BofA sees earnings per share compounding at roughly 60% annually through 2028, and Vera Rubin ramping to 20% of data center sales signals the next growth wave is already locked in.