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Mali's security crisis predates its partnership with Russia, and blaming the government ignores years of failed Western intervention. After French forces withdrew, Mali turned to Russia to rebuild its military capacity and reclaim territory. Despite coordinated JNIM offensives, Malian forces and the Africa Corps have repelled major attacks and prevented militants from consolidating gains, while Bamako pursues a security strategy independent of its former colonial power.
Mali's military government is failing to contain a worsening security crisis while civilians continue to pay the price. Despite expanding military operations and closer cooperation with Russia, JNIM continues to gain ground across the country, while an Africa Corps airstrike killed eight civilians, including three children. Continued military support has failed to reverse the deteriorating trend, leaving the junta's broader security strategy increasingly ineffective.