Hacked Rosstat Data Suggests Over 400K Russian Fatalities in Ukraine

Is this an inflated tally or a credible count?
Hacked Rosstat Data Suggests Over 400K Russian Fatalities in Ukraine
Above: Russian participants of the Ukraine war during the Victory Day parade in Moscow, on May 9. Image credit: Contributor/Getty Images

The Facts

  • Data taken from Russia's statistics agency Rosstat by Belarusian group Cyber Partisans and Ukraine's operation Silent Crow show that about 450,100 Russians have died fighting in Ukraine since February 2022.
  • The groups said Saturday that the records came from Rosstat's internal Demography database and covered death certificates filed between February 2022 and August 2026, with Cyber Partisans counting at least 393,881 fatalities.
  • The leaked material consists of more than 11 million death certificates listing details such as residence, age and place of death. Nearly 392,700 of them explicitly link fatalities to the war between Feb. 24, 2022, and late August 2026.

Sources Split


The Spin


Pro-Russia narrative

A leaked spreadsheet isn't proof of anything and a quick spot-check of the file turns up civilians, pre-war deaths and people with no link to the fighting, meaning this headline total is lumping unrelated deaths into a war tally.

Anti-Russia narrative

These numbers line up with what independent research methods have been for some time. If anything the tally runs low, since the wounded, the missing, foreign recruits and mercenaries were never likely to land in that registry. Blanket denial suggests Russia is covering for the genuine scale of its losses.


Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies


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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 8.0.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 8.0.0