ESA: Earth's South Atlantic Magnetic Anomaly Expands

ESA: Earth's South Atlantic Magnetic Anomaly Expands
Above: A man taking pictures of the Aurora Australis as it illuminates the night sky near Christchurch, New Zealand, on Dec. 1, 2023. Image copyright: Sanka Vidanagama/NurPhoto/Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Earth's magnetic field is naturally evolving through normal geodynamic processes that scientists can track and understand. The South Atlantic Anomaly represents typical fluctuations in our planet's magnetic system, similar to historical excursions that have occurred regularly without catastrophic consequences. Advanced satellite monitoring provides unprecedented insight into these deep Earth processes, helping protect space technology through better prediction and planning.

Narrative B

Earth's protective magnetic shield is rapidly deteriorating at an alarming rate, with the South Atlantic Anomaly expanding by 25% and creating dangerous radiation zones twice the size of Texas. This growing weak spot threatens critical satellite infrastructure providing GPS, communications and weather services worldwide. The accelerating changes represent an unprecedented warning from Earth's core about our planet's weakening defenses against harmful cosmic radiation.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.16.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.16.0