Brazil: Lula's Approval Rating Slips, Polls Show

Brazil: Lula's Approval Rating Slips, Polls Show
Above: President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva passes by a Brazilian flag at the Interpol HQ in Lyon on June 9, 2025. Image copyright: Olivier Chassingole/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Left narrative

Since his historic comeback two years ago, Lula has overseen strong growth in a full-employment economy. Naturally, some people express discontent with recent increases in food prices, but that alone doesn't explain the plunge in his approval ratings. Brazil's far-right opposition has spread toxic polarizing content, but Lula's political deftness cannot be denied.

Right narrative

Lula's latest approval ratings are shocking — after all, it's hard to understand how more than one in four Brazilians approves his disastrous administration. Since the never-exonerated convicted felon returned to office, Brazil has lost moral authority and renounced fiscal restraint. The country's democracy is eroding, and the poorest are suffering the most as inflation gains speed.

Metaculus Prediction



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