Study: Great Barrier Reef Could Recover if Climate Targets Met

Study: Great Barrier Reef Could Recover if Climate Targets Met
Above: Bleached and dead coral around Lizard Island on the Great Barrier Reef, Australia, on April 5, 2024. Image copyright: David Gray/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Climate-concerned narrative

The Great Barrier Reef faces an existential crisis requiring immediate global action on emissions. Sophisticated modeling shows rapid coral decline before 2050 regardless of current scenarios, with most coral lost by century's end without drastic carbon reduction. The window for meaningful action is closing rapidly.

Climate-skeptic narrative

The Great Barrier Reef is continuing to contradict doom-mongering predictions about irreversible decline. Advanced modeling shows coral's natural adaptation abilities, and proves that it's actually expanding at a historic rate despite warming. This is yet more compelling evidence to contradict the climate scam.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.2

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.2