German Parliament Rejects Conservative Migration Bill

German Parliament Rejects Conservative Migration Bill
Above: The co-leaders of the right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) party Alice Weidel and Tino Chrupalla give a statement after German MPs narrowly voted against a bill to restrict immigration at the lower house of parliament on Jan. 31, 2025, in Berlin. Image copyright: Odd Andersen/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin


Left narrative

Friedrich Merz, whose own party members voted against him, should have known better than to align himself with the far-right, a move that not only backfired but also undermined Germany’s postwar democratic values. His failed immigration bill, tainted by racist rhetoric, sought to scapegoat migrants while pandering to extremists. Germany has no place for laws fueled by xenophobia, and his willingness to erode the firewall is a betrayal of democratic principles.


Right narrative

Despite this setback, Germans are fed up with mass immigration and its link to rising violent crime. Crime data confirms non-Germans are overrepresented in offenses, fueling support for tougher laws. The corrupt, anti-democratic firewall against the right is collapsing as voters reject failed establishment policies. The AfD’s influence will keep growing, and it’s only a matter of time before these laws are passed to restore security and normalcy.


Metaculus Prediction



Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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