FMs of France, UK, Germany to Meet Iranian Counterpart

FMs of France, UK, Germany to Meet Iranian Counterpart
Above: Foreign ministers of Germany, the U.K., and France on May 9, 2025, in Lviv, Ukraine. Image copyright: Eduard Kryzhanivskyi/Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine/Global Images Ukraine via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Europe narrative

The Israel-Iran conflict risks igniting wider regional chaos. Europe, in partnership with regional partners such as the Gulf Cooperation Council, must urgently lead a diplomatic initiative. Military escalation only deepens instability, and lasting peace requires political solutions. With strong ties across divides, Europe and the GCC must act now to prevent catastrophe and chart a path to regional security.

Pro-Israel narrative

Europe's faith in diplomacy gave us a failing Iran deal and a nuclear-armed theocracy on the brink. Europe ignored Israel's warnings then, and they're sleepwalking again now. For Israel, the threat is existential, and strikes are a necessary preemptive move to protect its people. Europe's diplomacy has delayed, not deterred, Iran's path to the bomb.

Pro-Iran narrative

Europe's silence on Israel's illegal aggression is complicity. By failing to hold Israel accountable, it aids Western-led intervention that has long destabilized the Middle East. Iran's push for sovereignty and peace is met with bombs, not dialogue. Merely a serf for American interests, Europe's words fall short of meaningful action to deliver peace and security.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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