Study: Deadly Fungus May Spread to Europe Due to Climate Change

Study: Deadly Fungus May Spread to Europe Due to Climate Change
Above: Mushrooms grow in a wooded habitat. Image credit: Silas Stein/Picture Alliance/Getty Images

The Facts

  • According to a study from researchers at the University of Manchester, Aspergillus fumigatus, a fungus that causes severe lung infections, could spread by 77.5% across Europe by 2100 under high-emission climate scenarios, exposing millions to infection. It thrives in warm, damp environments, causing the life-threatening aspergillosis.
  • Aspergillus flavus, another dangerous species that produces carcinogenic aflatoxins and infects crops, is projected to spread over 16% more territory globally. With increased warming, Aspergillus flavus and Aspergillus fumigatus would spread northwards into the U.K. and Scandinavia.
  • Fungal infections already kill an estimated 2.5 million people annually worldwide, yet less than 10% of the world's estimated fungal species have been scientifically described. The WHO added fungal pathogens to its critical priority threat list in 2022, recognizing their growing impact on public health.

Sources Split


The Spin


Climate-concerned narrative

Climate change has unleashed very dangerous fungi. Aspergillus species are silently spreading across continents, thriving in warming temperatures while developing terrifying resistance to humanity's meager antifungal arsenal. This isn't science fiction — it's an unfolding catastrophe that could eclipse viral pandemics, as Earth's rising heat transforms these microscopic predators into biological weapons.

Climate-skeptic narrative

While fungal threats demand attention, society must resist alarmist proclamations about climate-driven disease apocalypse. Scientific rigor reveals complex, nonlinear relationships where warming might actually contract some pathogen ranges while expanding others. Climate-disease interactions involve confounding variables, threshold effects, and control measures that make simplistic "more heat equals more disease" narratives dangerously misleading.


Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.18.0