China Calls Dalai Lama Succession Issue 'Thorn' in Relations

China Calls Dalai Lama Succession Issue 'Thorn' in Relations
Above: The Tibetan Community in the Netherlands celebrates the Dalai Lama's 90th birthday in the center of Amsterdam, Netherlands, on July 6, 2025. Image copyright: Romy Arroyo Fernandez/NurPhoto/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-India narrative

India must support Tibet as Beijing's Achilles' heel, not appease authoritarian sensibilities. China's brutal occupation created this "thorn" — not India's righteous support for Tibetan freedom. With Beijing viewing Tibet as its "palm" and Indian territories as mere "fingers," New Delhi must now transition to a more aggressive posture to assert itself, and Tibet, in the region.

Pro-China narrative

India must stop meddling in Tibet, a region historically and rightfully under the orbit of China. Continued interference only prolongs mistrust, fans conflict, and sabotages peace. Hosting separatists and provoking tensions — whether through rhetoric or covert action — undermines India's own credibility. True statesmanship lies in respecting China's sovereignty and engaging in diplomacy, not fueling border crises through outdated colonial claims.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO