UNSC Expected to Vote on Palestinian Membership

UNSC Expected to Vote on Palestinian Membership
Image copyright: John Lamparski/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Palestine narrative

Friday will provide both the US and UK the opportunity to side with democracy and join more than two-thirds of the UN's General Assembly that wish to see Palestine recognized as an official member. Despite committing unforgivable and unforgettable damage to the Middle East, the US and UK now possess the chance to finally create a path to meaningful peace by catalyzing international consensus concerning a sustainable two-state solution. History will remember the result of Friday's vote.

Pro-Israel narrative

Despite potentially reaching up to 13 UNSC votes, any resolution attempting to accept Palestine as a UN member is likely to be vetoed by the US. The reality remains that if Palestine is ever to be recognized, this must come as the result of consensus in the Middle East — not the decision-making of a distant international body that cannot state with confidence that Palestine truly meets its "peace-loving" criteria for ascension.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!