UK: Labour Make Gains in Local Elections

UK: Labour Make Gains in Local Elections
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The Spin

Right narrative

Results show that, despite the Conservative Party's ineptitude, there is still hope for the survival of right-wing politics in the shape of Reform UK. While the Tories have collapsed, Reform's rise as the country's third largest party highlights an opportunity for the right to regroup and provide the UK with the change it thoroughly needs.

Left narrative

Local elections have once again confirmed Labour's dominant popular support. The rewards of Starmer's decision to shift his party closer to the political center are now on full display — a choice that seems destined to only further attract moderate voters as the Tories enter a right-wing civil war with Reform UK.

Metaculus Prediction


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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