Trump, Panama Clash Over Canal Control Demands

Trump, Panama Clash Over Canal Control Demands
Above: A passenger ship navigates through the Miraflores locks of the Panama Canal near Panama City, Panama, on Dec. 22, 2024. Image copyright: Tarina Rodriguez/Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The Panama Canal's excessive fees and potential Chinese influence threaten US interests. The canal was given to Panama as a token of cooperation, and if the country fails to manage it properly, Washington must reclaim control to protect this vital strategic asset.

Narrative B

Panama's sovereignty over the canal is non-negotiable, and fees are set transparently based on market conditions and operational needs. The canal's management remains independent, and Panama has successfully expanded and modernized the waterway on its own initiative.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


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