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Study: Global Fertility Rates to Plunge by 2100

  • #Economic conditions & trends
  • #Child care
  • #Women's health
  • #World
Study: Global Fertility Rates to Plunge by 2100
story
MAR 2024
Image copyright: Sean Gallup/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images
story last updated MAR 2024

The Spin

Narrative A

Nations of varying demographics and economic ranks will not be able to avoid the consequences if these trends are allowed to continue. Lower-income countries must offer better access to contraceptives and female education, and wealthier nations must prioritize policies that support a robust social security system and open immigration to maintain population size and economic growth. Otherwise, the world will be in deep trouble.

Healthdata

Narrative B

Lower fertility rates don't pose an existential threat to the planet because a shrinking population could alleviate strain on global resources and reduce carbon emissions. These studies tend to over sensationalize the socio-economic consequences of slow fertility rates, which can lead to more restrictions on women's rights to contraception and to pursue education and work over having a family. There's no fertility crisis just yet.

EuroNews

Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story

Births in Japan hit record low as government warns crisis at ‘critical state’
GuardianFEB 2024
Nearly every country’s population will be shrinking by 2100, study warns
Al JazeeraMAR 2024
'Baby Bust' To See Shrinking Populations in 97% of Countries by 2100
NewsweekMAR 2024
Japan Sounds Alarm on Population Crisis: 'Last Chance To Reverse the Trend'
NewsweekFEB 2024