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Russia Launches Summer Offensive, Analysts Say

    Russia Launches Summer Offensive, Analysts Say
    story
    JUL 2024
    Above: A soldier looks at a fire caused by artillery fire on July 29, 2024 in Donetsk region, Frontline, Ukraine. Image copyright: Kostiantyn Liberov/Libkos/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images
    story last updated AUG 2024

    The Spin

    Pro-Ukraine narrative

    Due to manpower and materiel constraints, Russia will not have the capacity to launch a new offensive after this attack. While this development is not expected to deliver any real results, Russia will likely have pulsating attacks in order to sell small gains to an audience at home.

    Euromaidan Press

    Pro-Russia narrative

    Ukraine, alongside its Western backers, has demonstrated to Russia that they have no interest in peace. Russia will continue with the objectives of its Special Military Operation, including this latest defensive set of maneuvers, to protect national security interests.

    TASS

    Metaculus Prediction


    The Controversies


    UNLIKELYLIKELY
    Status:Resolved
    Will Russia Invade Ukraine?
    Controversy
    AUG 1 2024AUG 1 2024

    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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    Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 158
    Al JazeeraJUL 2022
    Ukrainian offensive forces Russia to bolster troops in occupied south
    GuardianJUL 2022
    One of Ukraine’s richest men killed after Russian missile hit his home
    New York PostJUL 2022
    Russia 'Clearly in a Lot of Trouble' in Ukraine War: Security Expert
    NewsweekJUL 2022
    Russia Pummels Ukraine’s Mykolaiv, Killing Top Businessman
    Wall Street JournalJUL 2022
    Ukraine Invasion Day 158: ground assaults and a bombed POW camp
    Daily KosJUL 2022
    Ukraine update: Russia reportedly pulls forces from occupied towns to rush troops to Kherson
    Daily KosJUL 2022