Controversy
Joe Biden
Liz Truss
Kamala Harris
Victoria Nuland
Dmitry Peskov
Fiona Hill
Jens Stoltenberg
Maria Zakharova
The Institute for the Study of War
+4
Status:Resolved

Will Russia Invade Ukraine?

Resolution:

Yes.

Resolved on Feb 24, 2022

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

Liz Truss
Liz Truss"[A]n invasion could be imminent, and it is highly likely."Feb 15, 2022
Victoria Nuland
Victoria NulandRussia is looking for "an excuse to go in."Jan 15, 2022
Jens Stoltenberg
Jens Stoltenberg"There is a risk for a full-fledged invasion."Feb 12, 2022
Dmitry Peskov
Dmitry Peskov"Russia has never hatched, is not hatching and will never hatch any plans to attack anyone."Nov 30, 2021
Emmanuel Macron
Emmanuel Macron"I secured an assurance there would be no deterioration or escalation."Feb 09, 2022
The Institute for the Study of War
The Institute for the Study of War"Putin may have no intention of invading Ukraine at all."Dec 01, 2022
The Institute for the Study of War
The Institute for the Study of War"There are good reasons to question Putin's seriousness about preparing for an invasion."Dec 01, 2022
Emmanuel Macron
Emmanuel Macron"The intensity of the dialogue we have had with Russia and this visit to Moscow are likely to prevent [a military operation] from happening."Feb 07, 2022
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Volodymyr ZelenskyyThe threat from Russia remains "dangerous but ambiguous."Jan 28, 2022
The Institute for the Study of War
The Institute for the Study of War"Russia may launch an attack on Ukraine on Saturday, February 19, 2022."Feb 18, 2022
Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris"We are talking about the real possibility of war in Europe."Feb 20, 2022
Maria Zakharova
Maria Zakharova"We [Russians] learn from US newspapers that we will attack Ukraine."Feb 09, 2022
Fiona Hill
Fiona Hill"One way or another, [Putin] wants Ukraine neutralized."Nov 26, 2021
Joe Biden
Joe Biden"As of this moment I'm convinced he's made the decision" and an assault could occur in the "coming days."Feb 19, 2022
Robert Lansing Institute
Robert Lansing Institute"Russia is highly likely preparing for active hostilities."Nov 24, 2021
The Institute for the Study of War
The Institute for the Study of War"Putin is not yet actively setting conditions to invade."Dec 01, 2022
Liz Truss
Liz Truss"[W]e could be on the brink of a war in Europe."Feb 15, 2022
Dmitry Peskov
Dmitry Peskov"Russia is not going to attack anyone, does not have any aggressive plans."Nov 26, 2021
Lloyd Austin
Lloyd Austin"Conflict is not inevitable. There is still time and space for diplomacy."Jan 28, 2022


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