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China Launches Military Drills Around Taiwan

  • #Taiwan
  • #China
  • #United States of America
  • #Autonomous weapons
China Launches Military Drills Around Taiwan
story
MAY 2024
Image copyright: Kevin Frayer/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images
story last updated MAY 2024

The Spin

Pro-China narrative

China's military drills around Taiwan are legitimate and necessary for safeguarding national sovereignty. Beijing is committed to countering Taiwan's "independence" forces and external interference. Taiwan is an inalienable part of China and the US must stop supporting its independence. Any threats to China's sovereignty will be met with resolute counteractions.

english.news.cn

Anti-China narrative

A Chinese invasion of Taiwan would likely fail with US defense support, even if victory comes at a high cost to all involved. While Chinese missiles could destroy US airbases and naval vessels, any invasion force would be repelled before occupying Taiwan. Potential conflict might even destabilize Chinese Communist Party rule due to counterattacks on mainland targets, so China should resist provoking a war it can't win.

Guardian

Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper

The US-China Conflict
Context
+5
AUG 2022AUG 2022

Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

‘Strong punishment’: China starts military drills around Taiwan
Al JazeeraMAY 2024
Taiwan invasion by China would fail, but at huge US cost, analysts’ war game finds
GuardianJUL 2022
'We're doomed': Americans grade Biden's handling of China
FOX NewsJUL 2023
If China attacks Taiwan, the U.S. military is planning a “Hellscape” - The Washington Post
Washington PostJUN 2024
China's Invasion Force Could Face Hundreds of Exploding Sea Drones
NewsweekMAR 2024
Biden needs to clarify his Taiwan policy ASAP
FOX NewsJUL 2023
Taiwan scrambles jets, puts forces on alert as China calls new war games "powerful punishment" for the island
CBSMAY 2024
China starts ‘punishment’ military drills around Taiwan days after island swears in new leader
CNNMAY 2024

More neutral establishment stance articles

[Frank Shyong] Taiwanese Americans' lingering dread
Korea HeraldJUL 2023