Bangladesh: 'Fake Candidates' Alleged in Upcoming Election

Bangladesh: 'Fake Candidates' Alleged in Upcoming Election
Image copyright: Antonio Masiello/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The result of Bangladesh's Jan. 7 election is obvious: Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's Awami League will unfortunately sweep. Legitimacy, though, will be hard to come by as shown by these concerning electoral tactics. The international community has taken note, too. The ruling party is largely to blame for this, having dismantled the "caretaker government" system the country had for years. The opposition BNP's boycott has also left the field wide open for the incumbent.

Establishment-critical narrative

Bangladesh has experienced a stable and economically buoyant period under Sheikh Hasina. Acrimony with neighboring India is at its lowest in decades. The opposition BNP is merely complaining because it is unable to influence and violate the country's secular atmosphere anymore. Western powers like the US unfairly see "democratic backsliding" in Bangladesh even as several opposition parties prepare to freely contest the upcoming election.

Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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