US Supreme Court to Hear Dispute Over Trump Documents

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The Spin

Pro-Trump narrative

While the case will be heard in the fall, the 95-year-old law used by House Democrats lacks any real legal precedent and has not led to any previously significant rulings. The decision will be important to clarify how such a law should be used in the future when a compromise between the legislative and the executive branches fails to occur.

Democratic narrative

Since Trump’s hotel turned into the Waldorf, visits — and spending — by prominent Republican political figures have all but dried up. It is certainly clear that whatever Trump’s intentions were, in reality, what the hotel was used for was more than simply a night’s stay and cocktails, but rather influence.

Metaculus Prediction


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