US Military Spaceplane Blasts Off on Secret Mission

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The Spin

Anti-China narrative

The US is in a new space race with China, and the West should be worried. Beijing knows that controlling space would give them the ultimate upper hand, and the PRC is quietly but surely growing its arsenal of weapons. If the US underestimates China or fails to take the threat seriously, we risk outer space becoming a potential conflict zone.

Pro-China narrative

The Chinese space program isn't a threat to the US or any other nation. The PRC's exploration of the moon and space is dedicated to advancing humanity, not conquering the heavens. Public attacks on China's space program have become routine for NASA because the spurious threat of Beijing's own research makes a convenient justification for its funding requests to Congress.

Narrative C

A race implies there is actual competition between the US and China. The PRC may be making rapid advancements, but it will never be able to compete on the same level as the US. America, for one, has a drastically higher budget, more operational launch sites, and, crucially, a significant number of international and private collaborators. China has a long way to go if it wants a seat at the table.

Metaculus Prediction


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