The Facts
- On Thursday, Ukraine's sports minister and president of the country's National Olympic Committee, Vadim Guttsait, warned that if the International Olympic Committee (IOC) allows Russia and Belarus to compete in the 2024 Paris games, Ukraine may decide to boycott them.
- Belarus has a close relationship with Russia, which is why many suspect its government played a role in the war in Ukraine.
- This comes in response to a statement on Wednesday by the IOC that said it was continuing to work on a pathway for Russian and Belarusian athletes to compete as neutrals — a reversal from its stance to exclude them from competing in the lead-up to the conflict.
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The Spin
Anti-Russia narrative
Russian athletes should have no place at the Paris Olympic Games, as allowing them to participate would legitimize Russian Pres. Vladimir Putin's illegal and unjustified war in Ukraine. The IOC's position is a world away from the reality of the war being felt by the Ukrainian people. Now is the time to work with like-minded countries to ensure that solidarity continues on this issue.
Pro-Russia narrative
The Olympic Games — meant to unite instead of divide — aren't about politics, and nor should they be. Punishing individual athletes for decisions taken by the leaders of their countries is not only unfair but also sets a dangerous precedent. The IOC, a strictly politically neutral organization, is on the right path.
Metaculus Prediction
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