Ukraine Allegedly Strikes Bridges to Crimea With UK-Supplied Missiles

Image copyright: Volodymyr Saldo [via Telegram]

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Ukraine is continuing to attack in three heavily-contested areas but continues to report moderate advances and partial successes. Russian forces are suffering heavy losses of manpower and equipment as Ukraine continues to advance.

Pro-Russia narrative

While Ukraine's counteroffensive continues, Russia sees a lull in the intensity of the attacks, and it hasn't yet been pushed back to its main defensive lines. Due to Ukraine's losses in personnel and equipment, this attack will soon be untenable for Ukraine.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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