Tropical Storm Hilary Slams Southwest US and Baja California, Mexico

Image copyright: NOAA [via Wikimedia Commons]

The Facts

  • Tropical storm Hilary reached Southern California and the US Southwest Monday, bringing record-breaking downpours and the threat of flash flooding, landslides, and mudslides.

  • Though Hilary was downgraded from a hurricane to a tropical storm, Friday marked the first time a tropical storm watch has been issued in California after the US National Hurricane Center issued the alert.


The Spin

Narrative A

Scientists agree that climate change is making hurricanes worse and increasing the likelihood of dangerous powerful storms. Global warming is also increasing the amount of rain that storms can produce and rapidly intensifying the strength and reach of tropical systems. This trend is real and it is worrying. Governments need to take action against climate change before things get worse.

Narrative B

Global warming should not be the scapegoat for every extreme weather event. The major reason for an increase in hurricane-related damage is not due to an increase in the number or intensity of hurricanes, but rather because more people live within the paths of these storms. Rather than fearmongering, authorities should focus on reducing vulnerability along coastlines and rehabilitating wetlands.

Nerd narrative

There is a 50% chance that New York City will experience a hurricane by 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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