Hong Kong Court Rejects Lai’s Bid to Dismiss Sedition Charge

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The Spin

Anti-China narrative

All that Jimmy Lai has done is demand peaceful democratic elections in Hong Kong, to which the PRC has responded by saying "forget it." What Beijing seems to have missed is the underlying test of natural justice and human rights that this case is about now. For Hong Kong to remain a credible global financial and business hub, China must honor its agreements and uphold democratic principles.

Pro-China narrative

More than a quarter century after Hong Kong returned to PRC control, the UK hasn't gotten over its colonial hangover. London is meddling in due process and Jimmy Lai will face charges for documented seditious acts. If anything, the machinations by foreign powers to help Lai in the case only reinforce the charge of sedition against the media tycoon.

Metaculus Prediction


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Establishment split

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