Erdoğan Announces Turkish Elections for May 14

Image copyright: Reuters [via Al Jazeera]

The Spin

Narrative A

There is a lot of symbolism in Erdoğan's decision to move the national and presidential election forward to a historic date, May 14. On that day in 1950, the single-party era ended thanks to a popular vote. That election marked a new beginning for Turkey, just as Erdoğan sees this election: all the campaign focus is on which political system, vision, and leader will bring the country into the next century.

Narrative B

Erdoğan has brought the vote forward by a month in a bid to get rid of the opposition, possibly forever, as the upcoming national election could be the last chance for them to prevent the country from descending into a personalist regime. While polls indicate a tight race, the "Table of Six" coalition is yet to converge around a single leader. The West should not hesitate to take bold action to help ensure that the domestic opposition gets a fair shake by considering revoking Ankara's membership in the NATO alliance.

Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!