Cuba Arrests 17 Over Alleged Russia-Ukraine Human Trafficking Ring

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    The Spin

    Narrative A

    While Russia enjoys Cuba's unconditional support in its clash with the West, Cuba is not part of the war in Ukraine and wouldn't make such claims against an ally unless it was seriously perturbed by the evidence it has seen.

    Narrative B

    Though Cuba provided little information to back up its statement and Russia has yet to respond, the allegations are a rare moment of friction between an increasingly isolated Russia and an impoverished Cuba.

    Metaculus Prediction


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