US, Iranian Military Vessels Nearly Crash in Strait of Hormuz

    Image copyright: US Naval Forces Central Command [via The Washington Post]

    The Spin

    Establishment-critical narrative

    The boldness of these Iranian naval maneuvers shows that Iran has a sense of superiority in the region. The Iranian navy isn't going to stop antagonizing the US in the Strait of Hormuz until Washington removes its sanctions on the Islamic Republic. Until then, the US will only continue to aimlessly - and dangerously - patrol and surveil the waters.

    Pro-establishment narrative

    The Iranian Guard has acted irresponsibly in the Strait of Hormuz for decades, having been involved in piracy and causing crises in the region for 40 years. Yet again, they have violated international law and put US military personnel at risk.

    Metaculus Prediction


    Go Deeper


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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