Taiwan: US Warships Sail Through Strait

Image copyright: US Navy [via CNN]

The Spin


Pro-China narrative

These operations, though not a direct threat to Chinese security, indicate that the US is likely to try to prevent a peaceful Chinese reunification by escalating tensions and accelerating instability. Rather than trying to attack China via Taiwan, US strategists must abandon the arrogant conviction that they have authority over Chinese matters.


Anti-China narrative

This is a calculated decision to reaffirm the Biden administration's commitment to freedom of navigation in the Indo-Pacific. By not shying away from Chinese threats and war games, the US is showing continued support for Taiwan.


Metaculus Prediction


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