Taiwan Begins Live-Fire Drills as China Extends War Games

Image copyright: AFP [via Al Jazeera]

The Spin

Anti-China narrative

China is threatening to disrupt peace in the Indo-Pacific region with its provocative military drills around Taiwan. Beijing is attempting to routinize military exercises in the Strait, something Taipei can't allow to happen. The autonomously ruled island has a right to exist, and is justified in doing whatever is needed to protect its independence.

Pro-China narrative

China's exercises are necessary to both prepare the Chinese military for any potential engagement initiated by the US and push forward the reunification process. China has every right to assert itself over its own sovereign territory of Taiwan, and the US is playing with fire by disregarding its previous diplomatic agreements with China.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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