Day 265 Roundup: Rockets Strike Poland, Zelenskyy Issues 'Formula for Peace'

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The Spin


Pro-establishment narrative

Although some countries aren't demonstrating their opposition to the Kremlin too publicly — in order to avoid being caught in the middle of tensions between the US and Russia — the G20 statement will demonstrate that most countries condemn Russia's actions in Ukraine and that Moscow will continue to face isolation until it completely withdraws from the country.


Pro-Russia narrative

Western diplomats have made efforts to sneak language into the G20 draft statement suggesting that the whole of the group — including Russia — opposes the war in Ukraine. However, Moscow has ensured that its perspective is well-reflected in the text, and that the statement accurately reflects the varied views on the special operation of the broad range of countries in the G20.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

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More neutral establishment stance articles

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