Brazil: Bolsonaro Vows To Follow Constitution, Orders Transition To Lula

Image copyright: Bloomberg/Getty Images [via NPR]

The Spin


Left narrative

This result represents not only a remarkable comeback for former Pres. Lula — who was sidelined from the 2018 election — but also a comeback for the entire country after the disastrous and polarizing far-right presidency of Bolsonaro. Democracy has won and Brazil has unified in the fight against deforestation, hunger, and racism.


Right narrative

Judicial activism harmed Bolsonaro's campaign by upholding partisan accusations that Brazilian democracy was under threat, and censoring media and the candidate's supporters. Despite significant evidence of his involvement with money laundering and corruption, Brazilian courts played a decisive role in enabling Lula to run, as well as helping him to victory.


Metaculus Prediction


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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