Australia: US Marine Pilot to Appeal Extradition

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

With over a decade of service under his belt, Duggan should have known that China uses civilians to gain access to Western military secrets. He also didn't help his case by renouncing his American citizenship and even moved himself and his family to China for some time. Duggan is on his way to face trial in the US because he violated US law.

Establishment-critical narrative

Duggan — who spent over a decade serving his country and faced no scrutiny for years while teaching all sorts of people how to fly — suddenly became a criminal when the US, UK, and Australia decided to turn China into an adversary. He has sat in solitary confinement for years because Washington needed a proxy in its new cold war with Beijing.

Metaculus Prediction

There is an 11% chance that there will be a US-China war before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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