Pro-Trump narrative

Trump's military strikes against drug boats are exactly the kind of bold action needed to protect American lives from narco-terrorists poisoning communities. These targeted operations eliminate confirmed traffickers operating along known smuggling routes with intelligence-verified cargo. Traditional law enforcement approaches have clearly failed to stop this carnage.

Anti-Trump narrative

These boat bombings on drug suspects in international waters amount to extrajudicial executions, killing innocent fishermen like Alejandro Carranza. It's no coincidence that vessels off Colombia have been targeted as Trump clashes with Petro — this is a politically motivated military campaign against Trump's rivals disguised as an anti-drug effort.

Nerd narrative

There's a 40% chance that the U.S. will attack Venezuela before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

GLP-1 drugs represent a revolutionary breakthrough that transforms obesity treatment and delivers extraordinary health benefits beyond weight loss. These medications reduce risks of dementia, addiction, heart disease, and dozens of other conditions by 20%, offering hope for previously untreatable diseases. The drugs energize medical research and prove obesity is a biological condition requiring chronic treatment.

Narrative B

GLP-1 drugs like Ozempic aren't miracle cures and come with serious risks that outweigh their modest benefits. These medications cause dangerous complications including pancreatitis, kidney problems, and semi-starvation states where patients eat as few as 600 calories daily. Most people regain 70% of lost weight after stopping, making them ineffective long-term solutions to obesity and associated conditions.

Nerd narrative

There's a 32% chance that any OECD country will achieve a 10% or greater reduction in the national rate of obesity for three consecutive years before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-Russia narrative

The latest U.S. sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil expose not Russian weakness, but Western desperation. The U.S. administration weaponizes finance to prop up its fading dominance, while Brussels, a mere vassal for Washington, obediently follows with its own sanctions at its own economic cost. These measures will hurt European industries, inflate global energy prices, and push Asia, Africa, and Latin America closer to Moscow and Beijing.

Anti-Russia narrative

The new sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil mark a decisive step toward dismantling the Russian regime's war economy. By targeting the oil revenues that bankroll the Kremlin’s aggression against Ukraine, the free world led by Washington has finally struck at the heart of Putin’s power. For too long, loopholes and lobbying weakened previous measures. This time, coordinated Western action shows that war crimes and economic blackmail will carry real consequences for Moscow.

Nerd narrative

There's a 60% chance that the U.S. will import any crude oil from Russia between 2025 and 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-government narrative

This strike is a selfish stunt that hurts the very people public workers claim to serve. The government has made generous offers — 76% of secondary teachers earn over NZ$100,000 ($57,425) and nurses average NZ$125,662 ($72,160) with benefits. Instead of negotiating in good faith, unions chose disruption over dialogue, forcing surgery cancellations and school closures right before crucial exams.

Opposition narrative

This historic strike by 110,000 workers exposes the government's relentless assault on public services through below-inflation wage cuts. With 65% public support, workers are fighting desperately against understaffed hospitals and under-resourced schools that endanger lives and education. The real issue isn't worker greed — it's a system prioritizing corporate profits over essential services.

Pro-Trump narrative

There is still a long way to go to achieve lasting peace, but Trump's diplomatic breakthrough in brokering the peace deal between Rwanda and Congo shows the genuine American leadership in ending Africa's longest conflicts. His transparent approach to securing critical minerals while promoting peace resonates with African leaders who value honest transactional politics over contradictory rhetoric. The administration's success in persuading both foreign ministers to sign this historic agreement positions America as a credible peacemaker across the continent.

Anti-Trump narrative

The Trump administration portrays itself as a champion of peace, but this peace deal is nothing more than a cynical move to secure access to Congo's $24 trillion worth of mineral resources while legitimizing decades of Rwandan aggression. America plays a key role in laundering illegally smuggled Congolese minerals, with Rwanda's tantalum exports to the US increasing fold after the M23 invasion. This sham agreement rewards Rwanda's plundering, while over 1,000 civilians have been killed since the deal was signed. This way, lasting peace remains an illusion.

Nerd narrative

There is a 60% chance that the Democratic Republic of Congo will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

This historic prayer service represents a wonderful gesture of Christian unity between two major church leaders. King Charles embodies earnest Christian humanity in his pursuit of duty, displaying the three-dimensional character modern monarchy requires. The union of these church heads coming together inspires understanding of fundamental faith values, and their joining in prayer marks good diplomacy, rather than religious radicalism.

Establishment-critical narrative

King Charles has betrayed his Protestant coronation oath by worshipping with the Pope, denying the finality of Christ's sacrifice through the Catholic Mass. The special papal title and permanent throne bearing his coat of arms signal a dangerous reversal of the Reformation. In the midst of the continued Prince Andrew scandal, Charles has chosen a photo opportunity above adhering to his faith.

Nerd narrative

There is a 50% chance that Pope Leo XIV will cease to be pope by July 2041, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

Mamdani, whose fame came from those who support antisemitism, got exposed as an inexperienced politician who crumbles under pressure during the final debate. His evasive answers on key ballot initiatives and visible nervousness when confronted about his extremist associations prove he's not ready to lead. Cuomo dominated the stage, showing that Mamdani lacks the experience needed for City Hall.

Establishment-critical narrative

Zohran Mamdani's laser focus on affordability makes him the clear choice for mayor. While other politicians get distracted by foreign policy theatrics, Mamdani consistently turns every issue back to the cost-of-living crisis crushing New York families. His message, discipline and ability to connect rising costs to failed establishment policies show he understands what voters actually care about.

Cynical narrative

New York's powerbrokers, Democrats and Republicans, have paved the way for Mamdani's rise by backing flawed figures like Cuomo and Adams. Their failure to offer credible, inspiring candidates — choosing instead a corrupt establishment — has left voters disillusioned. By prioritizing power over principle, they've created a vacuum where Mamdani, whether he's a good choice or not, has connected with New Yorkers more than the supposed experienced men in the room.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that Zohran Mamdani will win the NYC mayoral election by at least 14.8 percentage points, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

The FBI successfully dismantled a massive multi-million dollar gambling ring connected to organized crime that corrupted professional basketball for years. Law enforcement followed the money trail, exposed systematic sports rigging and money laundering and brought down a criminal enterprise that threatened the integrity of professional sports.

Establishment-critical narrative

The FBI orchestrated a shameful publicity stunt by arresting Terry Rozier in a 6 a.m. perp walk instead of allowing him to surrender, prioritizing headlines over justice. The NBA already cleared Rozier of wrongdoing after investigating the same allegations. Federal prosecutors are relying on unreliable sources rather than solid evidence to revive a dead case.

Narrative C

Today's revelations expose the dark underbelly of illegal gambling, a predatory network exploiting the vulnerable. In contrast, the legal market stands for transparency, accountability and cooperation with authorities, helping expose and eliminate bad actors. The legal betting industry is committed to collaborating and protecting the trust in fair play.

Narrative D

Sports betting platforms have transformed both real and fantasy sports into a high-stakes gambling environment. Studies link participation to increased gambling problems, especially among college students. Despite industry claims of skill-based play, the rapid growth and addictive features raise concerns about the true cost of sports betting.

Nerd narrative

There's a 60% chance that at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB or NHL will be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

Though the ICJ's opinion is nonbinding, it sets an important precedent. Israel, of course, has valid concerns regarding the UNRWA, but this does not mean that it can deny aid to Palestinians in Gaza, who must be protected.

Pro-Israel narrative

UNRWA has long facilitated terror and provided cover for Hamas and Islamic Jihad. Several UNRWA employees participated in Hamas' Oct. 7 terrorist massacre, which should be more than enough of a reason to once and for all get rid of the terror-adjacent organization. The ICJ's opinion is irrelevant to Israeli policy and is the product of the clear bias against Israel in international institutions.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Besides the fact that Israeli accusations against UNRWA are fully baseless, the agency is quite literally the only international organization with the infrastructure capable of providing humanitarian aid in Gaza. Considering that almost all of the donor countries — most of whom being allies of Israel — have reinstated funding to the agency should indicate that Israeli claims are nonsense. Attacks on UNRWA only serve to make the humanitarian situation in Gaza worse.

Nerd narrative

There's a 95% chance that the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas will hold by Oct. 28, 2025, at 12 p.m., according to the Metaculus prediction community.